Fixed rate mortgage

Will Higher Interest Rates Kill HOME SALES?


Sotheby’s Realty Newton, MA.  Top 20 Agents Network

 

Will Higher Interest Rates Kill HOME SALES?

Posted: 11 Dec 2014 02:00 AM EST

Will Higher Interest Rates Kill HOME SALES? | Keeping Current Matters

The Mortgage Bankers Association, the National Association of Realtors, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are each projecting mortgage interest rates to increase substantially over the next twelve months. What will that mean to the housing market in 2015? Last week, we posted a graph showing that home prices appreciated each of the last four times mortgage interest rates dramatically increased. Today, we want to talk about the impact higher rates might have on the number of home sales. The reason many experts are calling for a rise in rates is because they see a stabilizing economy. With the economy beginning to improve, they expect the employment situation to regain some ground lost during the recession, incomes to grow and for consumer confidence to improve.

What will that mean to home sales next year?

In its November 2014 U.S. Economic & Housing Market Outlook, Freddie Mac explains:

“While higher interest rates generally detract from housing activity, when they occur with strong job and income growth the net result can be increases in household formations, construction, and home sales. Our view for 2015 is exactly that, namely, income and job growth offset the negative effect of higher interest rates and translate into gains for the nation’s housing market.”

Bottom Line

Even with mortgage rates increasing, home sales and home appreciation should be just fine in 2015.


Buying a Home with as Little as 3-5% Down Payment


Buying a Home with as Little as 3-5% Down Payment

Posted: 30 Oct 2014 2:30PM EST Newton, MA.

Buying a Home for as Little as 3-5% Down | Keeping Current Matters

We have recently reported on the misconception that many buyers have regarding the down payment necessary to purchase a home. Multiple studies reveal that 40-50% of Americans believe you need between 15-20% of a down payment to be eligible to purchase a home. This misconception came about as the government just last year debated new guidelines for residential mortgages because of the housing collapse in 2007. Some were arguing that there should be a minimum of 20% or even 30% down payment on all mortgage loans. However, those standards were never implemented. To counter this misunderstanding, Christina Boyle, Freddie Mac’s VP and Head of Single-Family Sales & Relationship Management, in a recent Executive Perspectives explained that a person “can get a conforming, conventional mortgage with a down payment of as little as 5 percent”.

3% Down Payments Available Soon?

Just last week, Federal Housing Finance Agency Director Mel Watt announced that mortgages requiring only a three percent down payment may soon be available:

“To increase access for creditworthy but lower-wealth borrowers, FHFA is also working with the Enterprises to develop sensible and responsible guidelines for mortgages with loan-to-value ratios between 95 and 97 percent. Through these revised guidelines, we believe that the Enterprises will be able to responsibly serve a targeted segment of creditworthy borrowers with lower-down payment mortgages by taking into account “compensating factors.”

Bottom Line

If you are saving for either your first home or that perfect move-up dream house, make sure you know all your options. You may be pleasantly surprised. Line-Break

NOW Is the Time to Buy — Mortgage Interest Rates Below 4%


Mortgage rates fall below 4%
Newton, MA. Top Brokers, Sotheby’s Newton, MA.

Long-term borrowing costs continued to fall this week, with the average rate on a 30-year mortgage falling back below 4 percent, to the lowest level since June 2013.
Freddie Mac (OTC: FMCC) says a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 3.97 percent in the week ending Oct. 16, down from 4.12 percent last week. A 15-year fix fell to 3.18 percent, down from 3.30 percent.
A one-year adjustable-rate mortgage averaged 2.38 percent, down from 2.42 percent.
Long-term mortgage rates tend to follow the 10-year U.S. Treasury rate, which saw yields fall briefly below 2 percent this week.
“Mortgage rates are at their lowest levels since June 2013 amidst continued investor skepticism regarding the precarious economic satiation in Europe,” said Freddie Mac chief economist Frank Nothaft.
Next week, reports are due on new home construction and sales of existing homes in September.
The consensus forecast is for housing starts last month to have risen 5.4 percent from August, with sales of existing homes rising 0.8 percent. If so, the gains would follow drops in home construction and housing sales in August.

Mortgage Rates…..Best Ever!


Newton, MA.

Mortgage Rates: Path Paved

Mortgage rates improved last week amidst an atmosphere of major market uncertainty.

It wasn’t until Friday though, after exceedingly weak economic data, that consumer borrowing costs really rallied. This surprising positive development followed 10 straight sessions of unfriendly directional behavior. All of that negativity was essentially erased on Friday, leaving rates just above their best levels of the year.  CHECK OUT THE CHART

The rally didn’t end there though.  Over the weekend our nation’s political “leadership” finally put aside partisan opinions and came to an agreement on a long-term budget plan. Combine that with another round of unexpectedly weak economic data this morning and we’re looking at new 2011 consumer borrowing cost lows.

CURRENT MARKET*: The BestExecution conventional 30-year fixed mortgage rate has improved to 4.50%. Some lenders are even offering 4.375% but that quote carries with it additional closing costs.  On FHA/VA 30 year fixed BestExecution is 4.375% with some lenders willing to go as low as 4.25% (extra closing costs).  15 year fixed conventional loans are best priced at 3.75%. Five year ARMs are best priced at 3.25%. It’s important to point out an increased amount of variation in what individual lenders are quoting as their BestExecution rates.  This is a factor of volatility in the secondary mortgage market.  Unfortunately when volatility picks up in the secondary mortgage market, the cost of doing business get more expensive for lenders (hedging costs go up as lock desks peel off coverage at higher MBS prices). Those added costs are usually passed down to consumers.

THE WEEK AHEAD: With drama dying down over the debt ceiling debate and a U.S. default off the table, markets are ready to shift their attention back to economic fundamentals, which have been generally supportive of lower mortgage rates lately.  And while plenty of indicators do have the potential to improve the overall economic outlook,  they’re more than likely going to confirm a dour situation and keep a lid on rising mortgage rates. The most influential data-point of the week comes on Friday morning, with the release of the July Employment Situation Report. CHECK OUT THE FULL ECON CALENDAR

PREVIOUS GUIDANCE:   Floating in this environment is a crapshoot. Both stocks and bonds are maneuvering through major market uncertainties. Investors are focused on news headlines regarding U.S. budget issues, EU debt contagion concerns, economic data, and quarterly earnings. That puts the direction of mortgage rates at the mercy of factors that don’t exactly adhere to schedules or expectations. While we still view underlying economic fundamentals as being supportive of lower mortgage rates in the future, the short-term risks associated with a potential U.S. debt default leave us more inclined to advise locking, especially deals that must be ready to close in the next 10-15 days. This provides protection from rising rates and still gives your lender a chance to negotiate if rates decline.

NEW GUIDANCE: Floating in this environment is still a crapshoot, especially in the short-run,  but barring an unexpected turn of events on Capitol Hill, a path has been paved for our longer-term mortgage rate outlook to come true. That means we see lower mortgage rates in the not so distant future. It may not be a direct path lower though, there will be ups and downs along the way. Be prepared for continued volatility.

CAUTION: MND guidance is speculative in nature. We don’t have a crystal ball, we can’t predict the future, we can only share our outlook. Making the following considerations extra important……………………

What MUST be considered BEFORE one thinks about capitalizing on a rates rally?

1. WHAT DO YOU NEED? Rates might not rally as much as you want/need.
2. WHEN DO YOU NEED IT BY? Rates might not rally as fast as you want/need.
3. HOW DO YOU HANDLE STRESS? Are you ready to make tough decisions?

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*BestExecution is the most cost efficient combination of note rate offered and points paid at closing. This note rate is determined based on the time it takes to recover the points you paid at closing (discount) vs. the monthly savings of permanently buying down your mortgage rate by 0.125%.  When deciding on whether or not to pay points, the borrower must have an idea of how long they intend to keep their mortgage. For more info, ask you originator to explain the findings of their “breakeven analysis” on your permanent rate buy down costs.

*Important Mortgage Rate Disclaimer: The BestExecution loan pricing quotes shared above are generally seen as the more aggressive side of the primary mortgage market. Loan originators will only be able to offer these rates on conforming loan amounts to very well-qualified borrowers who have a middle FICO score over 740 and enough equity in their home to qualify for a refinance or a large enough savings to cover their down payment and closing costs. If the terms of your loan trigger any risk-based loan level pricing adjustments (LLPAs), your rate quote will be higher. If you do not fall into the “perfect borrower” category, make sure you ask your loan originator for an explanation of the characteristics that make your loan more expensive. “No point” loan doesn’t mean “no cost” loan. The best 30 year fixed conventional/FHA/VA mortgage rates still include closing costs such as: third party fees + title charges + transfer and recording. Don’t forget the fiscal frisking that comes along with the underwriting process.

Home Price VS. Cost


Home Price vs. Cost

Unless buyers are paying all cash, a potential purchaser should consider the COSTof a home more than the PRICE of a home. Obviously, the price is a major component of cost. However, mortgage rates and other expenses associated with attaining a mortgage also impact cost – what the buyer will pay every month. Interest rates and other mortgage expenses are projected to increase later this year.

WSJ REPORTS MORTGAGE RATES EDGE HIGHER


Mortgage rates mostly edged higher in the latest week, with the average on 30-year fixed-rate mortgages rising slightly to 4.87%, according to Freddie Mac’s weekly survey.

Mortgage rates generally track U.S. bond yields, which move inversely to Treasury prices. Rates have climbed this year after slumping most of last year when prices rallies on economic uncertainty.

Freddie Chief Economist Frank Nothaft noted that rates were little changed after what he called “an encouraging employment report” from the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 4.87% in the week ended Thursday, up from 4.86% the prior week but down from 5.21% a year earlier. Rates on 15-year fixed-rate mortgages were 4.1%, up from 4.09% the previous week but down from 4.52% a year earlier.

Five-year Treasury-indexed hybrid adjustable-rate mortgages averaged 3.72%, up from the prior week’s 3.7% but down from 4.25% a year earlier. One-year Treasury-indexed ARMs were 3.22%, down from 3.26% and 4.14%, respectively.

To obtain the rates, the five-year ARMs required payment of an average 0.6 point and the others required an average 0.7 point. A point is 1% of the mortgage amount, charged as prepaid interest.